Over the weekend I had a question about Patterns for the architect of the very system this blog covers. I sent her an email, and she quickly provided feedback:
Dear Lottery Meister:
In answer to your question: The less a pattern plays – say like 20 percent
of the time – I would not look at the fact that it is not playing 80 percent
of the time, and therefore, not play that pattern. I have calculated and
verified the theoretical probabilities and actual probabilities on patterns,
general orders, and specific orders listed on our sites. What you are
reporting real time for www.lotterytrend.com, www.lotterytrend-megamillions.com, and www.lotterytrend-powerball.com, are actual probabilities. The actual pattern probabilities are not that far off
from the theoretical. In general, the less a pattern plays the greater your
odds of winning when it does play – providing you are playing the ” less
played” pattern. But since Lottery Trend breaks the patterns down into
general orders and specific orders, you have the choice of increasing your
odds of winning, i.e., if you pick a specific order and you stick with that
specific order, when that specific order does play, your odds of winning are increased, significantly.
For instance, if you are playing the {3-2-1} pattern in Texas Lotto (and you are only buying one ticket), your odds of winning when {3-2-1} does play is about 1 out of 13 million rather than 1 out of 26 million. If you are
playing the {5-1} pattern, your odds of winning are about 1 out of 900,000, rather than 1 out of 26 million. The strategy is to stay the course and keep playing that same pattern until it turns up. A {5-1} pattern plays on average between 3 and 4 times every 100 drawings. If I know nothing else I would play the {5-1} pattern, seeing that my chances are better when it does come around. I can spend that dollar every draw until {5-1} does play.
It’s like picking a spot to fish, knowing where and how the fish bites.
If you know about specific orders associated with each pattern, you can
increase your odds even more, providing you stick with that specific order.
But the rarity of play for specific order kicks in, and my chance of picking
the right specific order for {5-1} is about two out of three (when the {5-1}
pattern does play -there are six specific orders to choose from and if {5-1}
pops up 4 out of 100 draws, I have a 2 out of 3 chance that the specific
order I’ve chosen will play). If I am playing the right specific order when
{5-1} does play, the odds of winning, playing that one dollar, is 1 out of
154,000, rather than 1 out of 26 million.
The same goes for the {3-2-1} pattern. This pattern plays about 1 out of 2
drawings. Picking a specific order, and staying with that specific order
increases my chance of winning, when that specific order does play. The
{3-2-1} pattern consists of six specific orders. When the specific order
I’ve chosen does play my odds of winning are about 1 out of 2,250,000,
rather than 1 out of 26 million. Because of how often the {3-2-1} pattern
plays it is nearly a given that the specific order you choose will play
several times a year.
And consider this, if I choose to buy more than one ticket, but stay
consistent with the specific order, I improve my odds of winning even more.
The {5-1} pattern plays about 3 to 4 percent. So I calculate that it plays
about 3 to 4 times a year. I would not count it out due to the odds of
winning when it does play.
Whether you play a pattern or not depends on (1) how often that pattern is expected to play, (2) the odds of winning, when that pattern plays, (3) and your patience. When I co-authored Lottery Trend in 1993, I calculated that the {6} pattern (based on five groups and ten numbers in each group) would play once every 150 years. This was when the Texas Lottery was playing 1-50. Now, that’s a pattern that I would not have played. And when the Texas Lottery went from 1-50 (over 600 drawings) to 1-54, the {6} pattern still had not played.
The {6} pattern is different for the 1-54 system (based on three groups, 18
numbers, each). It has played five times in 1378 drawings. I calculated
that it should play 2 out of every 1000 drawings. As of this writing it
plays about 4 out of every 1000 drawings. Based on my calculations it
should trend about once every five years. Based on the way it is actually
playing, it is trending once every three and a half years. The {6) pattern
has three specific orders, and given the expectation of playing once every
three to five years, you could wait as long as fifteen years before the
specific order you choose plays. But it does play, and when a specific
order for this pattern plays and you are “patient” enough, your odds of
winning are 1 out of 19,000 (playing just one dollar). So that’s the
trade-off.
I created this system in 1992 during the advent of the Texas Lottery system, and I am proud to say I have expanded it to include Megamillions and Powerball.
Stay tuned.
Mary Semiene Harris